Lexington, Kentucky 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 2 Miles W Lexington KY
National Weather Service Forecast for:
2 Miles W Lexington KY
Issued by: National Weather Service Louisville, KY |
Updated: 7:13 am EDT Jun 5, 2025 |
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Today
 Partly Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Tonight
 Chance T-storms
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Friday
 Chance T-storms
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Friday Night
 T-storms then Showers
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Saturday
 Showers Likely
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Saturday Night
 Showers Likely then Chance T-storms
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Sunday
 Chance Showers then Chance T-storms
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Sunday Night
 Chance T-storms then Slight Chance Showers
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Monday
 Chance Showers
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Hi 85 °F |
Lo 67 °F |
Hi 82 °F |
Lo 66 °F |
Hi 80 °F |
Lo 63 °F |
Hi 79 °F |
Lo 63 °F |
Hi 79 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Today
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Southwest wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Tonight
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. South wind around 5 mph. |
Friday
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. West wind 6 to 9 mph. |
Friday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 11pm. Low around 66. Southwest wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. |
Saturday
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. West wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Saturday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Sunday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Sunday Night
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A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Monday
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A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Monday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. |
Tuesday
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. |
Tuesday Night
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A slight chance of thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 10%. |
Wednesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 2 Miles W Lexington KY.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
979
FXUS63 KLMK 051138
AFDLMK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
738 AM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025
...Updated Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Strong to severe storms possible today through Saturday, with
Friday holding the greatest potential.
* Excessive rainfall is possible as a surface boundary stalls across
the region. 1 to 2 inches of rainfall could occur late this week
and into the weekend resulting in localized flooding.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 352 AM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025
This morning, an upper trough dives south along the Pacific Coast
then shoots to the northeast, over the CONUS. This includes the
Lower Ohio Valley. At the surface, a very weak southwest to
northeast oriented surface front sits northeast of the CWA as it
stretches across southern Illinois and central Indiana. North of
the front, surface high pressure sits over the Midwest, and east of
the front, along the Atlantic Coast, another area of high pressure
sits. Along the front low pressure will help funnel Gulf moisture
north before flowing along the front. Precipitable water values
along the front will range between 1.5-2" today.
Currently, overnight convection continues to slide east over
southern Indiana and western Kentucky. As it does this, it`s been
slowly weakening. Lightning counts continue to fall, but after
diurnal warming begins and temperatures lift back into the 80s,
scattered thunderstorms area expected to increase and last into the
night. Believe the best chances for precipitation will remain closer
to the front with lower chances to the southeast, towards the Lake
Cumberland area. Deep layer shear remains weak, so organized storms
will be less likely. Lightning is likely the greatest threat with
gusty sub-severe winds and hail possible. The high moisture levels
and weak shear will likely cause any hail to experience melting
before reaching the ground, limiting its size.
Tonight, showers and thunderstorms are expected to expand farther to
the east with an overall decrease in activity. Under broken skies
and light winds, temperatures are expected to fall into the mid 60s
to low 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 352 AM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025
By Friday, there will be only slight changes in the overall pattern
as upper flow becomes more zonal over the Lower Ohio Valley. This
will push the surface, low near the front, east towards Ohio. This
will cause the nearly stationary front to drop south to near the
Ohio River and become more west-southwest to east-northeast
oriented.
During the morning hours, isolated convection could remain in the
area, but the main area of focus on Friday comes from an expected
MCS that is expected to develop over the southern Plains, travel
through the Ozarks, and continue into the Tennessee and Lower Ohio
Valleys. Shear remains unidirectional and weak, but the driving
force with this system will be the instability from diurnal warming.
Current model runs has this system arriving during peak heating
during the afternoon and evening hours. MLCAPE values could reach to
around 1,500 J/kg before the system arrives. Some hail is possible,
but the main threat will be gusty winds as the system moves through
the region.
Through the weekend, a shortwave and upper low work over the CWA. In
the moist environment, periods of showers and thunderstorms will
remain possible. Overall fairly light rainfall totals aren`t
expected to cause any flooding issues. Temperatures remain
consistent with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s and lows in the
60s to low 70s.
By around Tuesday, a cold front is expected to drop south through
the region and bring a period of drier weather.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 738 AM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025
The slow moving northeast to southwest oriented front is expected to
remain northwest of southern Indiana and central Kentucky through
the period, but ahead of the front, a line of precipitation is
slowly weakening as it works east towards area TAF sites. This
afternoon, more scattered thunderstorm activity is expected to
develop and work east in the area of the TAF sites, but model trends
are decreasing precipitation coverage.
&&
.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...KDW
LONG TERM...KDW
AVIATION...KDW
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